Macro Cycle

Macro Cycle

By Charles Foster

Yongding’s $1.13B Laser Chip Orders: The Hidden Supply Chain Behind AI Infrastructure

The most important correction comes before the investment thesis: Yongding’s disclosed laser-chip orders total approximately RMB 1.133 billion, not US$1.13 billion. The July 29, 2026 announcement identified a RMB 542 million order and a US$87 million order, translated at approximately RMB 591 million. Both amounts included tax. The combined value was roughly US$167 million at the exchange rate implied by the announcement.

Macro Linkages

HBM Memory

HBM Memory
By Alexander Reed

Incremental Demand for HBM Test and Burn-in Equipment – A Quantified Forecast

As High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) moves from niche to mainstream across AI, HPC, and advanced graphics, test and burn-in equipment emerges as a critical bottleneck. HBM modules require more extensive, higher-fidelity testing than commodity DRAM: multi-die functional tests, high-speed channel validation, thermal stress profiles, and system-level burn-in under representative accelerator loads.

Compute Chips