His Articles

ETFs

Assessing the Allocation Value of Newly Launched Thematic Semi ETFs (Equipment/Materials/HBM)

Semiconductor themed ETFs used to be simple. You bought a broad fund like SMH or SOXX, got exposure to the sector’s biggest names, and let the cycle do the work. That world is changing fast. A wave of newly launched tactical semi ETFs now targets very specific slices of the value chain: equipment, materials, and high‑bandwidth memory (HBM). Instead of “chips,” the story becomes “tools,” “chemistry,” and “memory bottlenecks.” The question for allocators is not whether these themes are interesting—they clearly are. The real question is whether these tactical ETFs add meaningful allocation value on top of traditional broad semi exposure.

ETFs

5-Year DCA Backtest of Semi ETFs – The Validity of the Smile Curve in China

Dollar-cost averaging is often treated as the most reasonable answer to a difficult market question: how do you invest in something volatile without trying to outsmart every move? In semiconductor ETFs, that question becomes even more relevant because the sector is famous for sharp cycles, headline-driven swings, and dramatic reratings. A five-year DCA backtest of China semiconductor ETFs is therefore more than a performance exercise. It is a way to test whether patience, consistency, and disciplined buying can overcome the sector’s turbulence. It is also a useful way to examine whether the so-called smile curve really holds up in China.

Macro Linkages

Empirical Evidence on the Critical Threshold of Negative Correlation Between 10Y Yields and Semi Valuations

In macro markets, relationships are often drawn as simple lines: “higher rates hurt growth,” “lower yields boost tech,” “semiconductors like easy money.” Reality is messier. Yet one pattern has become familiar in recent years—when long-term interest rates move beyond certain levels, valuations in high-duration sectors like semiconductors begin to respond in ways that look like mirror images. Stock charts and yield curves start to dance in opposite directions. The correlation turns negative, and for investors living through the AI chip super-cycle, that correlation matters.