His Articles

ETFs

2H 2026 Semi ETF Tactical Allocation: The Positioning Guide

The second half of 2026 is shaping up to be a inflection point for semiconductor ETFs. AI infrastructure capex remains robust—hyperscalers are still deploying GPUs, HBM, and networking equipment at record pace—but valuation multiples are stretched, interest rates are elevated, and credit spreads are beginning to widen.

HBM Memory

The Irreplaceability of Japanese Material Suppliers in the HBM Supply Chain

High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) has quickly become a strategic pillar of modern AI, HPC, and accelerator architectures. Behind the headlines about wafers, interposers, and packaging capacity lies a quieter but crucial reality: a small cluster of highly specialized Japanese material suppliers provides many of the chemicals, precision films, specialty substrates, and consumables that enable reliable, high-yield HBM production.

Macro Linkages

The Tiered Impact of Fed Balance Sheet Reduction on Semi Liquidity Conditions

When the Federal Reserve shrinks its balance sheet—moving from quantitative easing (QE) to quantitative tightening (QT)—it doesn’t announce anything about semiconductors. It talks about reserves, Treasuries, and mortgage‑backed securities. Yet the ripple effects of that decision run all the way out to sectors like semis, which depend on liquidity for valuations, funding, and cyclical demand. The impact is not uniform; it’s tiered. Large, cash‑rich chipmakers feel QT differently than small caps, equipment suppliers, and speculative AI plays.