His Articles

Macro Cycle

India’s Four Chip Fabs Going Live in 2026: Can 75% Local Production Become Reality?

India’s semiconductor manufacturing push is becoming operational, but the headline combines two claims that need separating. The four facilities originally expected to enter commercial production in 2026 were not four equivalent wafer fabs. And the government’s 70–75% ambition concerns the capability to design and manufacture chips for domestic applications—not proof that three-quarters of India’s semiconductor spending will soon become local factory revenue.

Macro Linkages

The Chain Reaction of BOJ Rate Hikes on Yen Financing Costs for Equipment Giants

For decades, Japan’s big equipment makers—tool builders for chips, industrial robots, precision machinery—operated in a world where money in yen was effectively free. Zero or negative rates turned local borrowing into a quiet structural advantage. That world is changing. As the Bank of Japan (BOJ) lifts rates off the floor, the entire chain of yen financing costs moves: from short‑term loans and corporate bonds to global carry trades, FX, and commodity exposures. For equipment giants, this isn’t a footnote. It’s a rewiring of their financial environment.

ETFs

Practical Grid Trading Strategies for Semi ETFs – Capturing Alpha in Wide Ranges

Semiconductor themed ETFs can trend relentlessly in bull phases, but they also spend plenty of time chopping sideways in wide, nerve‑racking ranges. Those wide ranges frustrate classic trend-followers but can be very friendly to traders who know how to harvest volatility. Grid trading is one of the simplest ways to do that. Done well, it treats price swings not as noise to be feared, but as raw material for systematic “buy low, sell high” across a pre‑defined band.