His Articles

Thematic ETFs

AI Infrastructure vs. Memory Indices: The 0.9 Correlation

There's a number that keeps appearing in semiconductor factor models: 0.9. It's the rolling 12-month correlation between AI infrastructure capex (data center buildout, GPU deployments, networking equipment) and memory demand (DRAM bit growth, NAND bit growth, HBM shipments).

ETFs

Cross-Border Capital Flow Characteristics of Hong Kong and Mainland Semi ETFs

Semiconductor themed ETFs in Greater China sit at the crossroads of domestic industrial policy and global capital markets. Hong Kong-listed semi ETFs and mainland A-share semi ETFs both track the chip story, but they live in very different ecosystems. One operates as an offshore gateway for international money, the other as a domestic vehicle tied closely to onshore investor sentiment and policy guidance. When capital moves between the two, it reveals a lot about how investors view China’s semiconductor ambitions, risk, and opportunity at any given moment.

Macro Linkages

6-Month Lead Validation of China’s Credit Impulse Indicator on Semi CapEx

Macro linkages rarely move in straight lines, but some signals consistently show up ahead of the cycle. China’s credit impulse is one of them. It has long been treated as a leading indicator for global manufacturing, commodities, and emerging markets. Increasingly, investors are asking a more specific question: does China’s credit impulse also lead semiconductor capital expenditure, and if so, by how much? The hypothesis many macro desks now test is a 6‑month lead—a forward window where changes in credit impulse foreshadow shifts in semi CapEx.