His Articles

Thematic ETFs

Memory Weight in AI Compute Indices: The Underweight Correction

Artificial intelligence investment has created a new generation of thematic indexes designed to capture the companies benefiting from the expansion of computing infrastructure. These indexes often emphasize GPUs, accelerators, networking, cloud platforms, data centers, semiconductor equipment, and power infrastructure. Memory is usually present, but its representation can vary substantially. In some AI compute indexes, memory companies occupy a relatively small position compared with their economic importance to the underlying systems.

Macro Linkages

Global M2 and Semi Cycle Bottoms: The Historical Overlap

Semiconductor cycles are often discussed through inventory, capacity utilization, memory pricing, capital expenditure, and end-market demand. Yet beneath these industry-specific indicators sits a broader financial variable: global liquidity. Changes in global M2, broadly interpreted as the amount of money and highly liquid deposits circulating across major economies, can influence the financial environment in which semiconductor companies operate. When liquidity expands, financial conditions may become more supportive for investment and risk assets. When liquidity contracts, valuation multiples, corporate financing, and technology spending can all come under pressure.

ETFs

Market Sentiment Revealed by Changes in Semi ETF PCF Baskets

If you spend any time in the semiconductor space, you quickly realize that prices do not move only on earnings calls and product launches. They also move on flows, on mechanics, on the quiet, daily processes that keep exchange-traded funds running. One of the most important of those processes is the construction of the Portfolio Composition File, or PCF – the basket that authorized participants use to create and redeem ETF shares. When we talk about semi-themed ETFs, the evolution of those PCF baskets can be a surprisingly rich source of information about what the market is really thinking.

Macro Linkages

Defensive Portfolio Strategies for Semi Stocks During VIX Spikes

Semiconductor stocks live at the intersection of technology excitement and macro stress. They benefit from long-term growth in AI, cloud, and electrification, but they also sit among the first sectors to get hit when volatility spikes. The VIX—the so‑called “fear index”—is a quick gauge of that stress. When it surges, correlation rises, liquidity can dry up, and cyclicals like semis often move sharply. Yet volatility episodes don’t have to turn into permanent damage for semi-heavy portfolios if you have a defensive playbook ready.